Cyclonic Storm Arnab is expected to intensify into a very severe cyclonic storm before reaching the Andhra Pradesh coast on October 28, according to the India Meteorological Department (IMD). The system developed from a deep depression and was located over the Bay of Bengal at 5.30 am on Monday, around 650 km from Visakhapatnam and 610 km from Gopalpur in Odisha.
The IMD has issued a red cyclone alert for the Andhra Pradesh and adjoining south Odisha coasts. Landfall is likely near Yanam, with the system expected to cross the Andhra Pradesh-Yanam coast between Bapatla and Visakhapatnam by noon on October 28.
Arnab is forecast to strengthen into a severe cyclonic storm by midnight on October 26 and reach very severe cyclonic storm intensity on October 27. At landfall, sustained wind speeds may reach 115–125 kmph, while gusts could touch 140 kmph.
Coastal districts between Krishna and Anakapalli may record winds of 90–100 kmph, with gusts up to 110 kmph, by the evening of October 27. After moving inland, the storm is expected to gradually weaken.
Andhra Pradesh is likely to receive heavy rainfall on October 27 and 28. Heavy to very heavy showers are expected at several places, with extremely heavy rainfall possible at isolated locations.
Odisha has prohibited fishing in the sea and restricted tourist entry in six districts in view of the approaching cyclone. The state may also receive intense rainfall on October 28, with heavy rain forecast at isolated places.
The weather system is expected to bring extremely heavy rainfall to eastern Telangana and southern Chhattisgarh on October 28. Northern Chhattisgarh may face similar conditions on October 29.
Its inland impact could extend across Jharkhand, Bihar, West Bengal, Vidarbha, eastern Madhya Pradesh and eastern Uttar Pradesh, where heavy rain is forecast between October 28 and 30.
Parts of southern Odisha, Chhattisgarh and Telangana could experience wind gusts of up to 80 kmph on October 28. Windy conditions are also likely along the coastal areas of south Odisha and north Tamil Nadu.
The IMD expects Arnab to weaken into a cyclonic storm by the evening of October 28 and further into a deep depression on October 29. Despite the weakening, heavy rainfall and strong winds may continue across several inland areas.